Wednesday, 6 January 2010

Overseas Property Industry Trends from 2009 to Influence or Expand in 2010

I just read a great article in Overseas Property Professional titled: LESSONS FROM 2009 TO PROSPER IN 2010. The article linked to several other articles explaining what had been selling in 2009, how this would carry forward into 2010, and some of the difficulties that would still be faced by some markets in 2010.

Actually one of the articles given as an example of the latter was most interesting of all: in the last few months the rebound in British and foreign demand for international property developed so quickly, that the reports can easily blind us to the fact that 2010 is still going to be a very difficult year for some parts of the industry.

The most enlightening was the one on Portugal, which told of a conference held by major players in the Portuguese tourism and realty industries on how they could work together to increase foreign trade and purchases of property in Portugal. The conference spoke of the pressure being applied to developers for them to cut prices, which many still refuse to do.

Since April the reports have been circulating of increasing British buyers in the Portuguese property market. However, these reports all involved UK based agents who are obviously finding it easier to attract the UK buyer.

Another hot seller in 2009, to continue doing well in 2010 is repossessed and distressed sales in established markets, namely Spain, America and the UK. America is expected to be particularly hot next year, with a record 3.9million repossessions expected according to RealtyTrac. The article said that distressed opportunities in Florida would dry up pretty quickly, while there would be opportunities to buy distressed property in Detroit for sometime.

It is no secret that America will be offering some pretty fantastic buy to let yields for as long as the repossessions continue, and that is why America was 3rd on our list of top investment destinations for 2010.

Another trend we have commented on here was highlighted in the OPP article:

“Our clients are pulling away from any risk, and are looking for guarantees. This is why we have decided to only recommend key-in-hand developments, and those that also offer a guaranteed leaseback are top of the list,” said Daniel Wentworth, International Sales Manager, Promonova.

We have written many articles on the risk-aversion of the buyers currently active in the market, and of the offers developers are having to lay on in order to increase sales, as is covered in the article linked by OPP as related news.

One trend missed by OPP that we are sure is in emergence (though it is covered indirectly in a few of the related articles and quotes) is the rise of buy to let investment in overseas property. This was again confirmed by Germany being 3rd most popular on portal Property Abroad.com in December.

The single biggest reason foreigners buy German property (obviously there are exceptions) is for buy to let investment. Germany is also known as one of the safest and most stable places in the world to invest, which ties in with the risk aversion also.

Another thing tying 2009 to 2010 missed by OPP was the chance given to Turkey to shine. Turkey property had been growing in popularity with foreign buyers for some time, but the effect the credit crunch had on foreign exchange rates has benefited Turkey in 2009 and will do so even more in 2010.

The strong euro/pound rate caused British tourism to Turkey to see accelerated growth. It also led to British sales of Turkish property surviving better than many European favourites.

We have just taken on a new development in Turkey that is certain to be a favourite in 2010: 2 bedroom apartments by a reputed developer in the South West Aegean Coast resort of Akbuk for £50k. Click here to find out more.

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