Australian Banks Warned by IMF to Stash Cash

The main four Australian banks have been warned by the International Monetary Fund to make sure they have sufficient cash reserves to cover any potential downturn in the housing market.

The IMF is worried that the Australian housing market may be overheated and that prices in cities are artificially inflated due to a number of wealthy overseas property investors from China entering the market.

Around 80% of the mortgage market is shared between just four domestic banks which are Westpac, NAB, ANZ and the Commonwealth Bank.

According to the IMF report, combining any corporate losses due to the global financial crisis with possible mortgage defaults could put too much pressure on Australian banks.

The situation isn't helped by economists at ANZ, who are already predicting government cuts will shave around a half percentage point off economic growth for the next four years.

US analyst Jordan Wirsz has already warned that house prices in Australia could slip by as much as 60%, although most would think that is quite an extreme prediction, and the latest report from Australian Property Monitors may yet prove it to be wrong.

After five consecutive quarterly falls, property prices have risen nationally for the first time since September 2010. Melbourne saw the greatest house price growth with prices rising by 1.1%, while in Sydney property prices remained the same. Melbourne is now ranked as one of the world's most costly cities in which to buy property, and is more expensive than London, New York and Los Angeles.

December Sales of Singaporean Private Homes Hit Lowest Level for Two Years

Figures for December sales of privately owned homes in Singapore fell to their lowest level for two years after new government taxes came into effect. Just 632 units were sold in December, and total sales for 2011 show a fall of 24%.

Experts are not surprised as this result is exactly as they predicted, with potential homebuyers remaining cautious about committing to a purchase as there are fears that property prices could fall.

The Singaporean government has been trying to regain control over property prices since 2009 when it banned interest only loans for certain housing projects, and prevented developers from absorbing interest payments on homes still under construction.

In spite of this property prices still increased by 0.2% during the fourth quarter, although this is the smallest gain for two and a half years.

Additional taxes have also been introduced for foreigners buying property, and this is likely to cause a further drop in demand as foreigners account for 36% of prime property transactions. Foreigners and corporate entities will now have to find an additional 10% for stamp duty.

There is an additional 3% for permanent residents buying a second home, or for citizens purchasing their third residential property. Earlier on last year the government imposed stamp duty of 1% on the first S$180,000 of the property price, with 2% being payable on the next S$180,000 and 3% being payable on the remainder. During the fourth quarter demand for prime property fell with sales down by 44% compared to the previous quarter.

Interest Rate Cut Boosts Australian Property Sales

Australia recently saw its first interest rate cut in two and a half years, and this has had a positive effect on the sales of new homes which have increased by 6.8% from October to November. Sales of detached properties increased by 9.8% which was mainly due to more properties being sold in New South Wales and Victoria.

However the picture isn't quite so rosy for multiunit sales which fell by 17%. Experts have played down the increase saying it is only to be expected as two months earlier sales of detached homes fell to an 11 year low which was partly due to speculation about a rate cut, and although this latest news is welcome sales volumes are currently at least 20% below levels required for a healthy market.

They point out that a sustained government stimulus is needed to bring about a strong recovery within the homebuilding market. In November sales of detached homes increased in four out of the five main and states and were up by 22.8% in New South Wales, by 11.6% in Victoria, by 5.7% in Western Australia and by 4.7% in Queensland.

In South Australia sales fell by 11.3%. It is however a great time for anyone wishing to build a new home as the building market is very competitive with a good availability of skilled trades combined with lower interest rates creating favourable conditions. Some economists are even predicting further interest rate falls as early as next month in an effort to boost retail sales and lift consumer sentiment.

Property Prices of Miami Condos Increase for the Fourth Consecutive Month

Figures from the Miami Association of Realtors show prices of condos have increased for the fourth consecutive month, and overall residential property sales look set to have ended the year on a high.

Sales of previously owned single family homes rose by 11% in November in the Miami metropolitan area when compared to the same month in 2010, while sales of previously owned condominiums increased by 2%.

The median price of a condominium now stands at $125,000, an increase of 18% when compared to the same time a year ago. The median price of a single family home has remained steady at $171,300.

In Miami Dade County the average price for a single family home rose by 8.2% to $324,846 in November 2011 compared to $300,369 in November 2010. However the increase for the average sale price of condominiums is even more impressive having risen by 21.5% to $226,151 in November 2011 compared to $193,486 in November 2010.

The chairman of the board of Miami Association of Realtors, Jack Levine feels these figures reflect the strengthening property market in spite of continued restrictions on mortgages.

Sales to overseas buyers still account for a considerable percentage of all transactions, as do cash sales. Some 79% of condominiums bought by overseas buyers were purchased with cash as were 41% of single family homes. As the excess housing inventory is being absorbed the effect of short sales and foreclosures on sales prices are decreasing as the market gradually becomes more balanced and healthy. In Miami Dade County the inventory of residential listings has decreased by 40% during the last 12 months from 24,278 to just 14,461 active listings.

Russian Buyers Increasing in Overseas Property

A survey carried out across several major Russian overseas property exhibitions has found that almost 2 thirds of Russian investors are preparing to complete purchases in the next 6 months.

The results of 3 surveys carried out at major aiGroup property investment shows found that 71% of Russian investors are planning on completing their purchases in the next six months.

Kim Waddoup, chief executive of aiGroup also said that the exhibitors at all three shows had reported "stronger than ever interest in their properties".

Russians, once a massive force in overseas property had dropped off during the financial crisis, but are now coming back with a vengeance. The rush on overseas property is part of a wider trend of capital flight from Russia as those in the emerging market seek out safe zones for their cash.

Central Bank chairman Sergei Ignatyev has estimated $49.3 billion has left the country in the first nine months of the year, already outstripping 2010’s figure of £35.3 billion. $13 billion of capital left Russia in September alone…70% of the third-quarter total.

As far as buying overseas property goes, the Russians favourites have changed a little since the boom time. Russians were known for favouring destinations within a short-haul flight, and with a similar culture/background to their own, with Bulgaria and Ukraine being very popular, although Spain has long been the favourite.

According to a survey of 499 investors conducted by International Residence at the Moscow International Investment Show in March, Spain is still the favourite, followed by Bulgaria and Turkey is the newcomer in third place.

US Contract Cancellations Increase, but Sales Figures Are up

Sales figures for residential property in the US are up, in spite of contract cancellations increasing substantially. Latest data from the National Association of Realtors shows sales of single family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-op's increased by 1.4% in October to 4.97 million, compared to 4.9 billion in September. Year-on-year sales have increased by 3.5% compared to 4.38 million homes sold in the year ending October 2010.

These figures would be even better had sales not being negatively affected by this increase in contract cancellations. These are due to various factors including failed mortgage applications, loss of employment and bad home inspections. Cancellations rose by an incredible 33% in October compared to 18% in September.

Although the sales figures are slowly rising, Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the NAR thinks the market is still operating at a lower level than desired in spite of improving factors which include rising rents, increased affordability and the creation of new jobs, and feels many people who want to buy new homes are having their plans thwarted.

At the moment there are 3.33 million homes on the market, and stock levels are falling steadily with October showing a 2.2% fall leaving an eight month supply. The market reached its peak in July 2008 when they were 4.58 million homes on the market.

Some areas are also seeing a shortage of foreclosures, especially in lower priced homes where multiple bidding on desirable property is becoming more commonplace. This has prompted realtors to ask for foreclosures to come on the market at a faster rate because they have buyers ready to purchase, and giving credit to investors would help absorb inventory at a faster rate.

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Britons Account for 29% of International Sales in Turkey

The latest Turkish Land Registry Office data shows Britons now account for an incredible 29% of foreigners purchasing property in the country, with the Germans accounting for 23% and Greeks accounting for 9% of international buyers. According to experts most of these buyers will use their own national currency in which to invest in property, and apparently this isn't always the wisest choice.

Certain areas of the country attract certain groups of buyers, as property around Alanya and Antalya is a popular with Northern Europeans, and as such is often priced in euros, while other areas which tend to be dominated by the British such as Altinkum are often priced in sterling.

This is down to agents pricing property in a currency which is more likely to hold its value on the global stage rather than local currency. From the overseas buyer’s point of view, it is easier to purchase property priced in their local currency rather than having to worry about converting it into Turkish lira, but this may not be the best way forward.

Overseas buyers can often just as easily make an offer in Turkish lira, and may discover that using a currency exchange specialist could ultimately cost them less than paying in their own local currency.

Currency exchanges often have extremely competitive rates for people transferring large amounts of currency, beating the banks by a considerable margin, so while it's possible to bargain down the price of property it is worth bearing in mind that you may also be able to negotiate paying in a more favourable currency.

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