Saturday, 11 September 2010

Investors Dominant in US Market – Little Wonder

Foreign investors are so heavily active in the US property market right now that, along with their US counterparts they are preventing first time and low income buyers from benefiting from the massively reduced prices on offer on repossessed and distressed sales.

Who can blame them though?

2 million homes were repossessed in 2008, 2.8million were repossessed in 2009, and a higher figure is predicted for this year. Not only does this mean 4.8 million homes being sold dirt cheap -- add on well over a million for this year already --, but it also means a high proportion of 4.8 (to 6+) million people moving back into the renting circle.

The downsides are: A: we need first time buyers and occupant buyers for a healthy market, and B: with such a high proportion of houses being bought by investors there is the potential for a severe jolt if they all (or too many of them) try to sell at once.

Luckily, we know that most investors today -- not only in America -- are investing for rental income, with capital appreciation being considered a bonus.

But this may only severely delay the problem. There is still the potential that years down the line, when the market has really strengthened, droves of them will sell up to recapitalise their business of for whatever reason and kick the market, or at least some local markets in the teeth for a bit. But anyway we are getting ahead of ourselves.

For now, all we need to say is that there are millions of great deals out there. And while it is sad that people are losing their homes, it is them, the economy and irresponsible lending (the banks) that are to blame, so there is no point in investors cutting off their nose not to capitalize on it.

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