MIPIM Picks Out a Few Overseas Property Investment Hotspots for 2010

According to an article in Overseas Property Professional, the recent MIPIM property investment seminar highlighted very few investment hotspots.

Apparently residential property in Asia is where we should all be investing. One example given was Vietnam, which has a developing tourism industry, but that is not where to invest, according to a David Blackhall of VinaCapital Real Estate, it is the local residential housing projects which have the biggest growth opportunities.

I have to say, I would be very disappointed to have had to pay good money to go to MIPIM just to pick up that pearl of wisdom in the Trends in Asia Pacific Property Markets seminar, something which is pretty much common knowledge among anyone with even a passing interest in overseas property markets.

Asian population and economic growth is among the fastest in the world, and in most countries the demand for affordable housing among the newly employed is growing far faster than developers can keep up with; so it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to work out that affordable housing is a good investment in any of those countries – Vietnam being one of them with bells on.

The South-East Europe – Riding Out the Storm seminar was apparently very tough on the region it spoke of, pointing out roaring liquidity problems and massive price falls in almost every country in the region. Bulgaria, Romania and Greece were picked out as among the worst performers.

Turkey on the other hand was picked out as the exception to the rule. According to those in the know the worst of the crisis is over in Turkey, and while liquidity problems remain, growth is expected to resume this year. Turkey’s population growth of 1.2 million per year was highlighted as a massive strength for residential investment.

Serbia and Ukraine were also highlighted as worthy of investment in the South East Europe region.

Bulgarian GDP Down 5% in 2009, Property Market Looking Up?

Official government figures have revealed that Bulgarian GDP shrank some 5% in 2009. That is of course bad, but given that many economies in the world shrank by that amount or larger, putting it in the proper context it can easily be viewed as a positive for Bulgaria, which some (most if we’re honest) analysts predicted to contract by much more. The IMF predicted a 6.5% contraction for example.

The statistical institute had previously said that the economy contracted 5.1% last year, so the latest data is a revision upwards. What wasn’t revised upwards was the fact that the contraction accelerated on a quarterly basis throughout the year, with the final quarter being the worst.

According to the data the Bulgarian economy contracted by 3.5% in the first quarter, 4.7% in the second quarter, 5.4% in the third quarter, and 5.9% in the final quarter.

The government is expecting a further 2% contraction for this year, which is what it has based its forecast on.

Meanwhile Bulgaria property is becoming more popular. According to data released by leading portal Primelocation, searches for Bulgarian property increased by over 50% in January.

Bulgaria property is known as being some of the lowest priced in the world. Thus, with the level of research that today’s buyers are known to be doing this presents the chance of getting some exceptional value for money on carefully chosen properties. There have been reports of oversupply, but to a lifestyle buyer after a quality ski resort property for example, that doesn’t necessarily matter all that much if that are able to get a really good deal/

Cyprus Property Sales Increasing in 2010; Let’s Try not to Cry

The latest property sale figures from the Land Registry show a 30% increase in property sales in February this year compared to last year, and a 27% increase in January and February this year compared to the same period last year. Respectively the numbers were 558 and 1274 contracts of sale registered.

While this is most definitely positive news, analysts have been quick to point out that sales are still 60% down on 2008 levels. They have been quick to point out also that this is general data, and there is no indication of what proportion of sales are attributable to foreign buyers -- the Cyprus property market has become incredibly reliant on foreign buyers in recent years. Figures on sales to foreign buyers are expected to come out in the next few days.

The most surprising response however came from Solomon Kourouklides, president of the Cyprus Real Estate Agents’ Association, he has been quoted as saying:

“The latest increase is attributable to the opportunities in the market. Many Cypriot individuals and investors have bought properties from non-Cypriots or Cypriots who cannot pay off their loans. But these opportunities will run out

"If the economic parameters remain the same, we believe that the market will remain at the same level as in 2009, while there is a possibility of a slight deterioration."

Talk about looking a gift-horse in the mouth (yes, I know that saying doesn't exactly fit, but until I think of a better one...).

No one seems to have touched on the fact that this is now 2 straight months of increasing sales in Cyprus. In January sales to foreigners were also found to have increased. This would seem to indicate that the mix of government legislation and advice from Cypriot legal officials has cooled some of the negative effect the title deeds issue caused.

Nor has anyone mentioned the potential positive effect the slew of new golf courses scheduled to be built in Cyprus starting from this year could have. I am not saying go out and buy champagne to celebrate the massive increase in Cyprus property prices in advance, but I am saying, let's not be too negative either. 2010 is likely to be a strong year for overseas property sales, and with the deeds issue semi-resolved and the new courses, Cyprus may well get some of that action.

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